November 02, 2006Reuters/Zogby poll shows.
Democrats lead Republican incumbents in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Missouri, Montana, Virginia and Rhode Island, "but only the Rhode Island and Pennsylvania races were outside the polls' margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points."
"To gain a Senate majority, Democrats must hold their own seats and win six of seven at-risk Republican seats, including knocking off at least five Republican incumbents."
Other key findings:
Said pollster John Zogby: "The Democrats have a real shot at the Senate now, and six weeks ago you probably could not have said that. But it's still a jump ball, and there has been volatility both ways."
- The race is Tennessee seems out of reach as Bob Corker (R) opened a 10-point lead on Rep. Harold Ford (D-TN) in the race for a Republican open seat in Tennessee.
- Democrats lead in Maryland and New Jersey, their two most vulnerable seats. In fact, Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ) has opened a 12 point lead over Tom Kean Jr. (R).
- In Connecticut, Sen. Joe Lieberman (I) is on his way to victory with a 10 point lead, but since he's said he'll caucus with Democrats the race doesn't impact the struggle for control.
New Poll Show Democratis Within Reach of Senate